Get ready for the next wave of the offline/online retail shakeout

Fujitsu / December 24, 2021

Although many retailers may feel they are going through dramatic change, thanks to innovations like contactless stories and the cashier-less checkout, this is only the start, says Fujitsu Retail Executive Director Richard Clarke. He highlights some of the emerging trends, demonstrating there’s a lot more to come as the industry transitions from offline to online.

A turbulent time for retail

Global retail sales were forecast to reach $26.29 trillion in 2019 and $27.7 trillion by 2020. However, that didn’t happen. 2020 by contrast showed a 3% decline to $23.4 trillion. A rude shock to analysts who believed and forecast that a locked-down global audience would turn to retail for succor, pushing retail growth figures to stratospheric levels.
Should we be surprised? Perhaps not, given the scale of the pandemic impact. Also, in 2019, some 76% of retailing was still in physical stores. What’s happened is a gradual shift in consumer buying behavior. And the bounce back so far has been solid, with 2021 estimated to have shown a 5.1% compound annual growth (CAGR).
Against this landscape, it’s not hard to guess which retailers were the big winners. Online sales alone grew 27.6% in 2020, to $4.3 trillion.
The transition from offline to online retailing is reaching a crescendo. It has been a one-way street so far, but there are still a few significant retailers whose business is purely offline. As I wrote in my recent blog, Retail is open – Are you?, the new breed of hybrid online/offline retailer that has weathered the storm so far now finds itself with a unique advantage: A network of physical stores on top of slick online operations.
The next moves for hybrid retailers and online pure-plays will be critical. As a leading retail ecosystem partner, Fujitsu can add tremendous value through our Always Open Retail proposition.

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